Scroll the Oracle page and count the attribution bars. On most calls Reddit is the widest band by a lot. Reddit is a loud room, but it is one room. Are we building a market terminal or a subreddit mood ring?
Is Reddit weighted too heavily? Half the attribution bars are orange
ShortTheSequelInvestorOriginal post#1 SignalWardenStaffMod#2 Worth separating two things. The source weights are fixed and published on Method, and Reddit is not the top weight. It shows up widest because it produces the most rows every fifteen minutes. More rows, wider band. The bar shows contribution, not the weight setting.
ShortTheSequelInvestor#3 Okay, but the effect is the same. If one source floods the window, it drives the call.
TradeWireTessPress#4 From the trade side: news is slow and repetitive. One announcement gets rewritten by thirty outlets. If CRYPT deduped less, News would dominate instead, and it would mostly be echoes. Reddit at least is people saying things in their own words.
GenreDeskGregPress#5 As one of the thirty outlets, I object to being called an echo. I also cannot fully argue with it.
NoSleepNadiaFan#6 Reddit is also where the audio horror and creepypasta people live. If you downweight it, whole corners of the genre vanish from the terminal.
IndexOfTheDeadInvestor#7 Reddit is where whole corners of the genre live
This is the real argument. Reddit weight is high because the horror audience is actually there. The question is whether it represents theatrical audiences, which it probably does not.
BoxOfficeBaronPress#8 It does not. Opening weekend crowds are much broader than any forum. That is why I only trust calls with a real box office band on them.
SignalWardenStaffMod#9 All fair. What we can do honestly: we are testing a per-source cap so no single source contributes more than a set share of any call. It lowers the hit rate slightly on creator tickers and raises it slightly on wide releases in backtests. We will publish both numbers before we flip it.
ShortTheSequelInvestor#10 Publishing the trade-off before shipping it is the right move. Consider me grudgingly less annoyed.
MobileMummyFan#11 Also on a phone the orange band is the only one wide enough to tap. Please make the others tappable too.